I wonder if the anemic distribution of Lane–Macklem $20s reflects the sheer volume of roughly 1.5 billion Macklem–Carney and Wilkins–Poloz $20s already in circulation, or if it’s more a matter of deliberately stretching out the Lane–Macklem notes until the King Charles III $20s arrive in 2027, thus conserving print runs for notes that would otherwise be rendered obsolete. Probably a bit of both. Of course, factors like inflation, the move away from cash, and other macroeconomic trends are no doubt playing their part as well.
It's possible that they're trying to stretch out the Lane/Macklem (and where I am, what's left of the Wilkins/Poloz) signature $20s in the years leading up to the launch of the King Charles $20s. I remember getting a fresh $20 with FZP in recent months, so chances are, in the new year, we'll likely see FZR and FZS released to banks in my region, and taking the winter break into consideration, by the time they exhaust the Wilkins/Poloz $20s the new $20s with King Charles will likely be released, meaning that the Lane/Macklem $20s will be skipped in my region.
I bet that, during the final weeks of the current $20s, there's probably going to be quite a lot of activity on the SNDB, with a lot of new finds for the rarely-seen Lane/Macklem $20 prefixes that could see a big surge in releasing due to the BoC's need to aggressively clear out whatever $20s are left in preparation for the new $20s.
Could it also be possible that banks in Newfoundland are not ordering any more new $5 notes until the Terry Fox $5s come out?
Regarding new $100 prefixes in my region, after discovering GKW in the 5M range and GKY in the 3M range this year, I am now seeing a trend. Because of very low demand for new banknotes now (possibly lowest ever), it appears that new serial number prefixes now take three years from the initial reporting to finally arrive to Newfoundland (and possibly Atlantic Canada in general). The probability of seeing the first HJ* series prefix in my hometown in 2026 appears pretty good.
If this trend of three years with the $100s prove true, chances are the Rogers/Macklem $5s could finally arrive to my province next spring - unless the banks decide to replace another batch of existing $5s with more $10s. Also, for what it's worth, I did see someone from Nova Scotia having reported an INV in the 4 million range on the SNDB. We all know that INT and INU are fully exhausted now, so Newfoundland definitely won't be seeing any fresh $5s with those prefixes. On the average, in this day and age, three or four new prefixes per set of newly printed $5s coming to Newfoundland is the norm now.